Interesting & simple analysis suggests it is likely
Nice! ES just added an animation of this graph showing the relationship over time. You can see the excess death line jump upwards right after the vaccine starts its rollout: https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1593045492644327424
The Pfizer RCT says 24%+ deaths in the vaccine arm. Is it really such a shock that increases in all-cause mortality in countries and counties with the highest vaccine uptake are around 20-30%?
Nice! ES just added an animation of this graph showing the relationship over time. You can see the excess death line jump upwards right after the vaccine starts its rollout: https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1593045492644327424
The Pfizer RCT says 24%+ deaths in the vaccine arm. Is it really such a shock that increases in all-cause mortality in countries and counties with the highest vaccine uptake are around 20-30%?